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READ MOREElection Night Guide 2022
Download our Election Night Guide for the 2022 Midterm. Election Day is November 8th. After a summer of encouraging news for Democrats, recent coverage is focused on whether we face a Republican takeover of Congress.
READ MOREThe Missing New Hampshire 2022 Redistricting Files
Some common reports and data files are not readily available for the New Hampshire House of Representatives 2022 redistricting plan. During and after redistricting, states typically provide updated population counts, population deviations, and maps. But official New Hampshire sources have not been forthcoming with this information for their newly enacted ...
READ MOREKansas Abortion Vote In Charts
Kansas’ “Value Them Both” amendment was soundly defeated in the state’s August 2nd primary election. Republican and unaffiliated voters were instrumental in defeating the amendment. More Republicans than Democrats were expected to vote based on statewide registration and a greater number of contested Republican primaries. Support for the pro-choice position ...
READ MOREKansas Abortion Vote—How Similar Measures Fared in Other States Prior to Roe Reversal
On Tuesday, August 2nd, Kansas holds its primary election. This marks the first time Americans will vote on an abortion ballot measure since the Supreme Court overturned the 49-year-old precedent established by Roe v. Wade. Kansas’ HCR 5003, or the “Value Them Both” amendment, aims to amend the state constitution ...
READ MOREA Quick Update
At the NCEC, we have been busy preparing for the upcoming 2022 elections. This past cycle, we have been consumed with processing and integrating the data we need for our upcoming campaign planning data and analysis. This includes: Integrating and analyzing redistricting plans for the US Congress and individual State ...
READ MOREHow to Make Sure Trump Loses
Last week, we detailed Joe Biden's current electoral college advantage in the upcoming presidential election (see Biden Surge and Trump Failures). In this article, we expand on the winning scenarios we briefly touched on before. A recent Axios poll (see Axios, June 30), shows that only 19 percent of Republicans ...
READ MOREBiden Surge and Trump Failures Expand Electoral Map
The November 2020 general election is fast approaching, and Democrats now have a clear lead in 18 states. This tranche provides the presumptive nominee Joe Biden with a base of 212 electoral votes—58 short of the required 270. Four more states—Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, and New Hampshire—with 36 electoral votes are ...
READ MORETrump Weaknesses Remain Despite Recent Polling
A new Washington Post-ABC News poll released this week contains a few surprises in Trump's favor, but also reveals obstacles in the way of a his re-election, as well as indicators to shape Democrats’ strategy for maintaining control of Congress. Here’s what stands out most to us in the report: ...
READ MOREAhead of 2020 Election, Path to Democratic Victory Emerges
With nearly two dozen candidates competing for the Democratic nomination and a clear divide over impeachment of Donald Trump, the Democratic presidential primary election is looking to be a tumultuous affair. Despite this, a national path to victory is already taking shape. Benchmark data indicate that Democrats can repeat the success ...
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